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Section 1. Intuition: Ways to Build It

1. A Pragmatic Approach to Intuitive Decision Making

Intuition - We Can't Trust It but We Can't Live Without It

The Three Goals of This Book

Is Intuition Decision Making Important for You?

2. A Case Study of Intuition

Background

A Baby in Crisis

The Contrast

What You're Goind to Learn

3. Where Do Our Hunches Come From?

The Process of Intuitive Decision Making

The Role of Analysis

Isn't It Obvious?

Barriers to Intuitive Decision Making

4. Intuition Skills Training: Speeding Up Your Learning Curve

Identify and Understand the Decision Requirements of Your Job

Practice the Difficult Decision in Context

Review Your Decision-Making Experiences

Wrap-up: Turning Experiences into Expertise

5. Using Analysis to Support Out Intuitions

Intuition + Analysis

The Limits of Intuition

Overreacting To The The Limitations of Intuition

The Limits of Analysis

Making Good Use of Analytical Strategies

Section 2. Intuition: Ways to Apply It

6. How to Make Tough Choices

7. How to Spot Problems Before They Get Out of Hand

The PreMortem Exercies

How Do People Detect Problems?

8. How to Manage Uncertainty

Fire Sources of Uncertainty

Tatics for Managing Uncertainty

Putting the Tactics to Work for You

Tolerance for Ambiguity

Developing Your Intuitions About Uncertainty

9. How to Size Up Situations

Noise

Using Stories to Make Sense of a Situation

Breaking a Mindset

10. Getting Creative - How to Go Beyond Brainstorming

Brainstorming

Directed Creativity

Tactics for Directed Creativity

Case Studies of Innovators

Consultative Selling

11. How to Improvise and Adapt Plans

Why Do We Plan?

Planning to Adapt

Intuition and Procedures

How Intuition Helps You Adapt Your Plans

12. Molding Your Intuition: A Case Study

What Did Lia Know and When Did She Know It?

The Puzzles

The Company's View

The Solution

Section 3. Intuition: Ways to Safeguard It

13. Executive Intent: How to Communicate Your Intuitions

The Functions and Features of Executive Intent

Informative Directions

Giving Clear Directions

14. Coaching Others to Develop Strong Intuitions

Getting Inside People's Heads

A Nation of Coaches?

Master Coaches

Getting Coached

15. Overcoming the Problems with Metrics

The Functions of Metrics

Metrics Can Mislead Us

Metrics and Stories

Representing the Metrics

Fantasy Baseball

16. Smart Technology Can Make Us Stupid

Information Technology Can Limit How We Search for Data

Information Technology Can Weaken Our Mental Model

Information Technology Hides the Story of How It "Thinks" About the Data

Information Technology Can Make Us Less Adaptive

Information Technology Can Make Us Passive

What Can We Do to Protect Ourselves?

17. Ten Tips for Intuitive Decision Making

Ten Tips for Intuitive Decision Making

Atitude Check

Frequently Asked Questions

Balancing Act


Exercises


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